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I completely support rural
broadband network deployments. Rural broadband network deployments will
facilitate the growth of the economy and promote the education of our youth. For
every downside to an issue there is an upside. Rural broadband has its pluses
and its minuses. To make the rural market attractive the investors need an exit
strategy.
The answer to
successfully investing in the rural space centers around ROI(OTN:TNWKQ) over a 2 to 3 year period, deal size, and lack of
exit strategy. If investment bankers cannot get a substantial ROI in a short
period of time on a deal size that is in the billions of dollars, then the
“Street” has no interest. Bottom line, the deal cannot generate sufficiently
large transaction fees to get any brokers interested. As for the exit strategy
component, investors simply want to know who they can sell out to when they want
to move on. I am not being critical; it is what it is. Investors do not buy
stock in companies unless they can be assured of either some kind of continual
return (i.e., dividends) or continual growth in stock price.
ROI and deal
size are important. People want to make as much money as quickly as possible.
If you can make as money investing in a savings account versus investing it in a
publicly traded company, you would go to the nearest bank and plunk down cash in
a savings account. I understand the fundamental goals of the investor.
However, the rural market has the potential for generating cash flow. Some
rural markets are long term investment plays. That being said why even bother
investing in rural the answer is that the rural markets are the glue for the
connecting urban centers across the country. The rural markets’ value is in the
potential exit.
The exit strategy for investors in rural broadband
networks lies with “contiguous networks”.
Contiguous network building is
a page from the network rollup playbook. Imagine, investing in contiguous rural
networks. Now imagine a Verizon(NYS:VZ) wanting to connect its pockets of services using
contiguous rural networks as the glue. For a Verizon type of carrier it is
preferable to buying an established well constructed and sufficiently advanced
network rather starting from scratch and doing it yourself. Contiguous network
rural networks are an exit strategy for all rural investors. Rural investors
cannot own just one rural network but a group of them. By building out
contiguous rural markets the rural investor will be manufacturing the glue the
Verizon’s and AT&T’s will need to connect their urban markets. You now have
an exit strategy for rural investors.
Instead of walking away from the
rural market, investors need to figure out how to monetize a sector of the
telecom industry that will never go away. There is money to be made in the
rural market. If it was easy everyone would be doing it and then it would have
zero value.
DISCLAIMER
The views and opinions expressed in this article do not necessarily represent
the views of MobileIN.com.
You are encouraged to seek the advice of health professional concerning
these matters of great importance.
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