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This publication is the third in a series of research from Mind Commerce
that address the market place, the business drivers and the competition
of the three major broadband wireless technologies with part one, Broadband
Wireless: WiMax Industry, part two Broadband Wireless WiFi Industry and
this report covering 4G cellular.
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Overview
The cellular industry invested over $13.7 billion (USD) in spectrum auctions.
The cellular companies will need to recoup the investment, probably through
fees charged to the public. Today's cost for a cellular service with an
average data communications service of 130 Kbps is about $80 a month. To
be competitive with the advances in WiMAX and Wi-Fi, the fee for 4G services
will need to be lower than the cellular companies expect. A better strategy
for 4G operators would be to offer lower speeds with more capacity to handle
more users as a bargain thereby fully loading the networks with subscribers.
Usage based offerings with specific services, offering niche services at
moderate speeds, may turn out to be the most effective and profitable method
to roll-out 4G.
Key Findings
- The 4G services will need more MVNE's to support the OSS/BSS infrastructure.
- Revenues will reach $2.5B, $9.1B for cellular data and small business DSL
respectively by 2011
- Small business spending on Internet access will grow to $8.2 billion by 2009, up from $4.4 billion in 2005, largely due to adoption of DSL and higher bandwidth services.
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Spending on wireless data services will outpace all other categories in the SOHO segment, growing to nearly $2.2 billion in 2009, up from $0.47 billion in 2005
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Table of Contents
1. Introduction
2. 4G Overview
3. 4G Implementation and Methodologies
4. 4G Developments
a. 4G Service Applications
b. 4G Wireless Network Comparisons
5. WiFi Developments
6. WiMAX Developments
7. Convergence, Consolidation and Compromise
8. 4G Vendor Ecosystems
a. Access Point Equipment - Base Station Forecasts
b. Handheld Phones, Chip Sets (Embedded)
9. The MVNO - The Driving Factor
a. The Successful MVNO Industry Sector
b. The 4G MVNE Industry Sector
10. Market Analysis 4G
a. Challenges
b. Advertising Revenue Forecasts
11. Conclusion
12. Technical Reference “Face-Off 4G vs. WiMAX vs. WiFi”
1. 2G to 4G Migration of Technologies
2. CDMA 2000/1xEVDO Platform
3. GSM/GPRS/EDGE Technology
4. UMTS/HSPA/HSDPA Technology
5. FEC Technology
6. IEEE 802.11 Standards
7. IEEE 802.16e, 802.16-2004 Standards
8. IEEE 802.20 Standards
9. WiFi VoFi Application
10. WiMAX - WiBro Application
11. UMA Technology
12. OFDM Technology
Tables and Figures
Table 1 - 4G Roadmap Service Migration
Table 2 - 4G Network Protocols
Table 3 -Business Telecommunications Spending Trends 2006-2011
Table 4- Revenue Forecasts WiFi/Cellular Handsets, Dual Chips and Access Point Equipment (2007-2011)
Table 5 - Estimated Advertisement Revenue Wireless Broadband Mobility Sector (2007-2011)
Figure 1 - The Future Topology of Wireless Broadband Networks
Figure 2 - Sprint’s 4G WiMAX Deployment Solution
Figure 3 - 4G Roadmap WiBro, IEEE 802.16e
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